The Dead Guy

I can’t even find the words to express my frustration, my disbelief, and my anger. Her words are enough. To state, in an editorial board interview for the Argus Leader, this response to why she hasn’t dropped out, yet:

“My husband did not wrap up the nomination in 1992 until he won the California primary somewhere in the middle of June, right? We all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California. I don’t understand it”

It is over, Senator Clinton. Pack your bags and go home. Now. You’ve insulted us long enough … you’ve damaged your name enough … you have damaged the party enough … you have made us all ashamed long enough.

With a follow up “Special Comment” from Keith Olbermann on MSNBC’s Countdown

Oh, and it gets worse - on Sunday, May 25, Liz Trotta on Fox News JOKES about assassinating Obama … this is why words mean something, Senator Clinton:

“and now we have what … uh…some are reading as a suggestion that somebody knock off Osama …uh..um..Obama [after being prompted by the FNC anchor]….well both if we could [laughing]“

And Clinton Campaign Chair Terry McAuliffe blames the Obama campaign for the international disgust over Clinton’s RFK remark. How low can they go?

If you don’t think the world is disgusted - take a look at The Australian and their article “Clinton kills off her campaign”

Tags: anger, argus leader, argusleader com, bobby kennedy, California, california primary, Countdown, disbelief, DROP, editorial board, frustration, June, keith olbermann, Kennedy, msnbc, nomination, OUT, Senator Clinton, special comment

On March 28, over at Chris Weigant’s blog, Chris asked his readers to place their bets (in quatloos) when Clinton would drop out of the Presidential race. Well, I’ve done pretty well so far. I predicted that Obama would surpass Clinton in Superdelegates before the West Virginia primary (got it right) and several of my delegate totals from the primaries were darn close (I didn’t do so well on my original delegate estimate for Indiana). Also, I was only 1 day off for the John Edwards endorsement of Obama. My final prediction is Clinton drops out on June 16, just 31 days from now.

27. This is the magic number. (more…)

Tags: allotment, amp, bets, Center, chris weigant, clinton, CNN, DC, dcw, delegate, delegate count, democrat, election, endorsement, Indiana, John, John Edwards, June, june 3, Kentucky, magic number, math, Montana, msnbc, New, obama, Oregon, percent, politics, president, Presidential, presidential race, Primaries, primary, Puerto Rico, quatloos, race, rcp, Rep. Pete Stark, South Dakota, star, state, super, superdelegate, superdelegates, Virginia, War, West Virginia

This is an update to “The Cult of Popularity” from April 11 about the final ten contests in the Democratic Presidential Preference elections. Since we are just under one week until the Pennsylvania Primary - I thought now would be a good time for us to visit that “popular vote” strategy that Senator Clinton is trying to employ to sway delegates (both superdelegates and elected delegates) to her side.

I will repeat the same response I have whenever someone tries to rewrite the rules. The DNC determines the Democratic Nominee by only one measure: Delegate count in sanctioned, legitimate elections. However, to quell the cries, I’ve laid out the math of the popular vote scenario. Since the first post, Clinton has made a little headway in the projection (about 11,000 votes) due to a .8% increase in her Real Clear Politics average lead in PA and a new SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky. However, at the same time Obama has tightened the race in Indiana and increased his numbers in Montana and South Dakota while losing a smidgen in North Carolina.

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Another of the Clinton campaign and supporters cries of “fairness” is that the popular vote of the primaries should be considered when deciding the Democratic Presidential Nominee. If one angle doesn’t work, try another … and another … and another.

I will repeat the same response I have whenever someone tries to rewrite the rules. The DNC determines the Democratic Nominee by only one measure: Delegate count in sanctioned, legitimate elections. However, to quell the cries, I’ve laid out the math of the popular vote scenario. And in the end, Obama is projected to win the popular vote as well as just about every other concept the Clinton campaign wishes they could find a way to win (against the rules).

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Tags: America, American, amp, Arkansas, ballot, campaign, caucus, Caucuses, Center, clinton, clinton campaign, convention, dean, delegate, delegate count, democrat, dnc, election, February, fivethirtyeight, Florida, four states, General Election, government, Guam, illegitimate, Indiana, Iowa, June, Kansas, Kentucky, law, leader, Maine, math, McCain, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, New, Nominee, North Carolina, obama, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, percent, politics, poll, polling, Pollster, Popular, popular vote, president, President Primary, Presidential, Primaries, primary, problem, Projection, Puerto Rico, rcp, real clear politics, republican, Somoa, South Dakota, state, turnout, Virginia, War, Washington, West Virginia, work

The race is on in Puerto Rico!

We finally have a poll in Puerto Rico looking at the primary on June 1^st between Senator Clinton and Senator Obama. Conducted by Research & Research between 3/31 and 4/5 of 800 self identified Democrats shows Clinton leading Obama 50% to 37% (MOE ± 4.4%).

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My first post in the blog is the math to the Democratic Presidential Nomination between Senator Barack Obama and Senator Hillary Clinton. This has been a highly contentious and very close race between two strong candidates and their campaigns.

The nomination, by DNC rules, is decided by delegate majority. Currently the magic number is 2,024 delegates to win the nomination. Neither Obama nor Clinton are able to attain that number of delegates without a certain amount of superdelegates. However, Obama currently holds the lead in elected delegates, while Clinton holds the superdelegate lead. More importantly is that Clinton’s lead in superdelegates has been greatly reduced since Super Tuesday, so that she holds a lead of approximately 30 superdelegates (at one time, that lead was over 100).

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