The Dead Guy

On March 28, over at Chris Weigant’s blog, Chris asked his readers to place their bets (in quatloos) when Clinton would drop out of the Presidential race. Well, I’ve done pretty well so far. I predicted that Obama would surpass Clinton in Superdelegates before the West Virginia primary (got it right) and several of my delegate totals from the primaries were darn close (I didn’t do so well on my original delegate estimate for Indiana). Also, I was only 1 day off for the John Edwards endorsement of Obama. My final prediction is Clinton drops out on June 16, just 31 days from now.

27. This is the magic number. (more…)

Tags: allotment, amp, bets, Center, chris weigant, clinton, CNN, DC, dcw, delegate, delegate count, democrat, election, endorsement, Indiana, John, John Edwards, June, june 3, Kentucky, magic number, math, Montana, msnbc, New, obama, Oregon, percent, politics, president, Presidential, presidential race, Primaries, primary, Puerto Rico, quatloos, race, rcp, Rep. Pete Stark, South Dakota, star, state, super, superdelegate, superdelegates, Virginia, War, West Virginia

This is an update to a post from earlier this month (The Math of Delegates). I thought since there are new polls available, that it was time to update these figures.

Both Obama and Clinton, as well as their campaigns, stated in the beginning that the nomination is about the delegate count. Only recently, when Clinton began to see her chances slipping in gaining a delegate lead did she want to change the rules of which they both had agreed. However, rules are rules and they are there for a reason - so that there is no doubt and no ambiguity in who the nominee is to be. (more…)

Tags: Alabama, Alaska, America, American, American Samoa, amp, Arizona, Arkansas, California, campaign, Center, clinton, Colorado, congress, Connecticut, DC, Delaware, delegate, delegate count, democrat, Democrats Abroad, election, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, law, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, math, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Nominee, North Dakota, obama, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, percent, politics, poll, president, Presidential, rcp, real clear politics, Rhode Island, South Carolina, state, super, superdelegate, superdelegates, Tennessee, Texas, the green papers, Utah, Vermont, Virgin Islands, Virginia, War, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming

On tonight’s The Colbert Report, Dr. Stephen T Colbert D.F.A. played host to four very strong Democrats - Senator Hillary Clinton, Senator Barack Obama, Former Senator John Edwards and Congressman Patrick Murphy. Below is a blow-by-blow analysis (with video!!!):

(more…)

Tags: ABC, America, Barack, candidacy, CCC, Center, Central, clinton, Colbert, Comedy, commentary, congress, Congressman Murphy, Congressman Patrick Murphy, DC, Debate, delegate, democrat, economy, EDWØRDS, endorsement, feed, Hillary, Hillary Clinton, Iraq, James Brady, John, John Edwards, NOTICE, obama, Philadelphia, primary, problem, Senator Clinton, Senator Hillary, Senator John Edwards, Senator Obama, star, state, Stephen, super, superdelegate, United States, War, work, WØRD

McCain & Greenspan

“The issue of economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should. I’ve got Greenspan’s book.” - Senator John McCain (December 18, 2007 in Salem, NH)

“I’m Republican and I support John McCain, who I know very well and who I respect a lot,” former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan (April 6, 2008 in Madrid, Spain)

(more…)

Tags: Alan Greenspan, amp, bush, DC, Deficits, democrat, economy, Federal, Intelligence, John, John McCain, McCain, New, politics, president, President Bush, republican, respect, state, Washington

My first post in the blog is the math to the Democratic Presidential Nomination between Senator Barack Obama and Senator Hillary Clinton. This has been a highly contentious and very close race between two strong candidates and their campaigns.

The nomination, by DNC rules, is decided by delegate majority. Currently the magic number is 2,024 delegates to win the nomination. Neither Obama nor Clinton are able to attain that number of delegates without a certain amount of superdelegates. However, Obama currently holds the lead in elected delegates, while Clinton holds the superdelegate lead. More importantly is that Clinton’s lead in superdelegates has been greatly reduced since Super Tuesday, so that she holds a lead of approximately 30 superdelegates (at one time, that lead was over 100).

(more…)

Tags: Alabama, Alaska, America, American, American Samoa, amp, Arizona, Arkansas, august, Barack, Bee, California, campaign, caucus, Center, clinton, Colorado, congress, Connecticut, convention, DC, Delaware, delegate, delegate count, democrat, Democrats Abroad, dnc, election, February, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Hillary, Hillary Clinton, Idaho, illegitimate, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, June, june 3, Kansas, Kentucky, law, Louisiana, magic number, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, math, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, National, Nebraska, Nevada, New, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Nominee, North Carolina, North Dakota, obama, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, percent, politics, poll, Popular, popular vote, preference, president, Presidential, Primaries, primary, Puerto Rico, race, rcp, real clear politics, Rhode Island, Senator Hillary, South Carolina, South Dakota, state, super, superdelegate, superdelegates, Tennessee, Texas, the green papers, Utah, Vermont, Virgin Islands, Virginia, War, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, work, Wrong, Wyoming