Posts Tagged “ballot”
This is an update to “The Cult of Popularity” from April 11 about the final ten contests in the Democratic Presidential Preference elections. Since we are just under one week until the Pennsylvania Primary - I thought now would be a good time for us to visit that “popular vote” strategy that Senator Clinton is trying to employ to sway delegates (both superdelegates and elected delegates) to her side.
I will repeat the same response I have whenever someone tries to rewrite the rules. The DNC determines the Democratic Nominee by only one measure: Delegate count in sanctioned, legitimate elections. However, to quell the cries, I’ve laid out the math of the popular vote scenario. Since the first post, Clinton has made a little headway in the projection (about 11,000 votes) due to a .8% increase in her Real Clear Politics average lead in PA and a new SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky. However, at the same time Obama has tightened the race in Indiana and increased his numbers in Montana and South Dakota while losing a smidgen in North Carolina.
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Tags: America, American, amp, Arkansas, ballot, campaign, caucus, Caucuses, Center, clinton, convention, dean, delegate, delegate count, democrat, dnc, election, February, fivethirtyeight, Florida, General Election, government, Guam, illegitimate, Indiana, Iowa, June, Kansas, Kentucky, law, leader, Maine, math, McCain, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, New, Nominee, North Carolina, obama, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, percent, politics, poll, polling, Pollster, Popular, popular vote, preference, president, President Primary, Presidential, Primaries, primary, Projection, Puerto Rico, race, rcp, real clear politics, republican, Senator Clinton, Somoa, South Dakota, state, super, superdelegate, superdelegates, turnout, Virginia, War, Washington, West Virginia, work
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Another of the Clinton campaign and supporters cries of “fairness” is that the popular vote of the primaries should be considered when deciding the Democratic Presidential Nominee. If one angle doesn’t work, try another … and another … and another.
I will repeat the same response I have whenever someone tries to rewrite the rules. The DNC determines the Democratic Nominee by only one measure: Delegate count in sanctioned, legitimate elections. However, to quell the cries, I’ve laid out the math of the popular vote scenario. And in the end, Obama is projected to win the popular vote as well as just about every other concept the Clinton campaign wishes they could find a way to win (against the rules).
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Tags: America, American, amp, Arkansas, ballot, campaign, caucus, Caucuses, Center, clinton, clinton campaign, convention, dean, delegate, delegate count, democrat, dnc, election, February, fivethirtyeight, Florida, four states, General Election, government, Guam, illegitimate, Indiana, Iowa, June, Kansas, Kentucky, law, leader, Maine, math, McCain, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, New, Nominee, North Carolina, obama, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, percent, politics, poll, polling, Pollster, Popular, popular vote, president, President Primary, Presidential, Primaries, primary, problem, Projection, Puerto Rico, rcp, real clear politics, republican, Somoa, South Dakota, state, turnout, Virginia, War, Washington, West Virginia, work
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 The race is on in Puerto Rico!
We finally have a poll in Puerto Rico looking at the primary on June 1st between Senator Clinton and Senator Obama. Conducted by Research & Research between 3/31 and 4/5 of 800 self identified Democrats shows Clinton leading Obama 50% to 37% (MOE ± 4.4%).
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Tags: amp, ballot, Bee, busca, CIA, clinton, democrat, election, encuesta, enseñanza, entre, General Election, google, Hillary, Investigación, June, marathon, MOE, obama, Ohio, poll, preference, primaria, primary, Puerto Rico, race, Senator Clinton, Senator Obama, star, state, Texas, votar
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